Microsoft CoPilot – generative AI as an enterprise Office 365 service for creatives

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, March 17, 2023

Summary

Microsoft announced an upcoming service for its Microsoft 365 service that integrates the user’s data using generative AI. Called Microsoft CoPilot, the service will first be offered to enterprises. This TUPdate measures the potential market of those most likely to adopt and benefit from the service.

The Microsoft CoPilot announcement

This week, Microsoft gave one of the most down-to-earth non-announcements among the many major companies exuberantly touting generative AI in some form. The announcement of Microsoft 365 CoPilot demonstrated how artificial intelligence capabilities might be deeply integrated into everyday Office 365 applications, especially those involving some creativity.

Microsoft has many challenges ahead to fulfill what was shown in the demo, including whether consumers, employees, or enterprises will be willing to share their words to be analyzed deeply. Also important will be whether the service adds enough value to counter the risk of getting the results wrong. After all, none of the generative AI tools to date have delivered on the promise of discernment.

Size of the market for creative activities

What we can do today is begin at the beginning – consider the size of the potential market. How many people are regularly doing any creative activities such as those illustrated in the demo? By starting with that assumption, the market size will be conservative. It’s more likely that people who need to get certain jobs done will look for the tool to assist them with what they are already doing. It’s less likely that a new tool will inspire many people to begin giving presentations or crafting videos. Just as buying a shiny new hammer doesn’t turn someone into a capable carpenter, nor does spicing up a spreadsheet make someone into a data analyst or executive decision-maker.

There are fewer potential users than Microsoft may hope, since just under half (46%) of all online American adults regularly do any of several major creative activities:

  • Use professional creative software
  • Create graphics/presentations
  • Create videos

An even smaller share of online Americans regularly uses their connected devices for work-related creative activities. As of TUP/Technology User Profile 2022, 28% of online American adults actively use any of their devices for any of the creative activities identified.

Regular creative activities among online Americans
TUP/Technology User Profile 2022-US
Table: CREATACTS
Universe-Online Adults
UNIV_AD: Universe-Online Adults (000) 
Universe-Online Adults (000)223,254
Sample size7,508
  
UDV_ANYDEV_ACTS_CREATIVE_SET: Creative activities (SET)Universe-Online Adults
Creative-oriented – personal or work activities (NET)46%
Creative-oriented – personal activities (NET)39%
Creative-oriented – work activities (NET)28%
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Purchase plans for smartphones and tablets by OS, country, and age

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, October 27, 2021

Apple and Android purchase plans by country

  • Globally, slightly more adults plan to buy an iPhone as plan to buy an Android smartphone
    • 19% of global adults plan to buy an iPhone in the next 12 months, while 16% have similar plans for an Android smartphone
    • Apple leads in the US with 20% having iPhone purchase plans compared to 14% for Android smartphones
    • In Japan, the gap is narrowly tilted towards Apple among the small share with brand-specific plans
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Key ecosystems penetration [MetaFAQs]

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, September 22, 2021

OS penetration by country

  • Windows penetration leads Apple and Google in every country surveyed
    • Primarily driven by the use of Windows PCs
  • In Germany, Google/Android penetration is much higher than Apple and highest among the countries surveyed
  • In the US and UK, Apple’s penetration is near to the penetration of Windows
  • In Germany, Japan, and China, Microsoft Windows dominates
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It’s a multi-ecosystem world [TUPdate]

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, July 8, 2021

Building and maintaining an ecosystem promises untold benefits to companies. However, companies will not enjoy benefits unless customers see value in the collective experience. Encouraging customers to stay within a company’s family of products can reduce the expense of acquiring new customers and increase revenue from ancillary offerings. This TUPdate reports on the most pragmatic measure of acceptance – market penetration status of broad technology ecosystems. In this analysis, MetaFacts measures the market’s adoption of the three prominent operating system families: Microsoft Windows, Google Android/Chrome OS, and Apple iOS/iPadOS/MacOS.

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Samsung laptop progress [TUPdate]

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, April 28, 2021

Samsung’s laptop PC announcements

This week Samsung announced its most recent slate of laptop PCs. While Samsung may be well known for smartphones, Android tablets, and even refrigerators, its PCs have not achieved such notoriety. Samsung has a tall hill to climb to gain market acceptance with its PCs. Its latest focus is on leveraging its smartphone brand with mobile PCs that have smartphone-like attributes. The announcements went beyond the traditional PC specs to focus on smoother and more highly integrated workflows, and the benefits of a Samsung ecosystem.

Samsung’s current market position is well behind Apple’s. Among online adults in the US and UK, Samsung’s market penetration for any connected devices is in the one-third range, well behind Apple, having reached half of online adults. In Japan, the gap is even wider between Samsung and Apple. In contrast, the tables are turned in Android-dominated Germany.

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Samsung and Apple users by age group and country [MetaFAQs]

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, April 23, 2021

Samsung and Apple each have their most substantial market penetration with their smartphones. Each company is striving to deepen its connection to its core base with PCs/Macs and tablets. There is a distinct difference in market penetration by age group. This MetaFAQs details the device-type penetration of Samsung and Apple’s smartphones, PCs, and tablets by age group in 2020 in the US, UK, Germany, and China.

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Samsung and Apple’s device type penetration within core [MetaFAQs]

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, April 22, 2021

Samsung and Apple have intensely competitive offerings with their smartphones, PCs, and tablets. Each company is vying to deepen its connection to its core base so customers of one device type will also use other types. One measure of loyalty is the range of device types that customers actively use. This MetaFAQs details the device-type penetration of Samsung and Apple’s smartphones, PCs, and tablets within each of their respective core bases in 2020 in the US, UK, Germany, and China.

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Samsung and Apple’s core penetration [MetaFAQs]

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, April 21, 2021

How does Apple’s and Samsung’s brand footprint vary by country? What share of online adults are using a smartphone, PC, or tablet from either Apple or Samsung? This MetaFAQs details the market penetration of Samsung and Apple’s core products – smartphones, PCs, or tablets – in 2020 in the US, UK, Germany, and China.

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Pent-up demand among notebook/laptop users [MetaFAQs]

Dan Ness, Principal Analyst, MetaFacts, November 10, 2020

How enthusiastic or forward-looking are users about getting a new notebook? Are purchase plans any stronger among Windows notebook users than Apple MacBook users? Or, is it the other way around? This MetaFAQs compares notebook purchase intentions among current users or Windows notebooks and Apple MacBooks.

Demand Tailwinds Among Apple MacBook Users

Apple’s most recent release of Apple MacBooks – this time with their own silicon – is launching at a favorable time. Demand for a new notebook/laptop is strongest among current Apple MacBook users.

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Usage guidelines: This document may be freely shared within and outside your organization in its entirety and unaltered. It may not be used in a generative AI system without express written permission and licensing. To share or quote excerpts, please contact MetaFacts.